Subjective probabilities

13.1 Outline

1. Terminology
   1. experiment
   2. sample space
   3. event
      1. definition
      2. impossible event
      3. simple event
      4. mutually exclusive
   4. die
      1. equally likely outcomes
      2. sample space
2. Probability
   1. probabilistic model
   2. relative frequency
   3. types of
      1. empirical probabilities (a posteriori)
      2. theoretical probabilities (a priori)
      3. subjective probabilities
   4. law of large